NFL Consensus Picks: Follow or Fade NFL Public Bets?

The betting public is commonly used as a first step in weekly research to help bettors decide which NFL teams to bet on. Betting on the NFL can take on many different narratives or approaches to handicapping. Find out what works best for you. Knowing where the public is leaning each with their NFL Consensus picks is good first step.



Game Line Date Away Picks Home Picks Consensus
LAR @ CLE -3 +3 Sun. Sep 22 8:20 pm ET LAR 75% CLE 25% LAR LAR - 0.75
NO @ SEA +5 -5 Sun. Sep 22 4:25 pm ET NO 30% SEA 70% SEA SEA - 0.7
NYJ @ NE +22 -22 Sun. Sep 22 1:00 pm ET NYJ 35% NE 65% NE NE - 0.65
DEN @ GB +7.5 -7.5 Sun. Sep 22 1:00 pm ET DEN 36% GB 64% GB GB - 0.64
MIA @ DAL +22.5 -22.5 Sun. Sep 22 1:00 pm ET MIA 37% DAL 63% DAL DAL - 0.63
PIT @ SF +6.5 -6.5 Sun. Sep 22 4:25 pm ET PIT 37% SF 63% SF SF - 0.63
CIN @ BUF +6 -6 Sun. Sep 22 1:00 pm ET CIN 40% BUF 60% BUF No Consensus
CAR @ ARI +2.5 -2.5 Sun. Sep 22 4:05 pm ET CAR 41% ARI 59% ARI No Consensus
CHI @ WAS -4 +4 Mon. Sep 23 8:15 pm ET CHI 57% WAS 43% WAS No Consensus
ATL @ IND +1 -1 Sun. Sep 22 1:00 pm ET ATL 57% IND 43% IND No Consensus
HOU @ LAC +3 -3 Sun. Sep 22 4:25 pm ET HOU 56% LAC 44% LAC No Consensus
DET @ PHI +6 -6 Sun. Sep 22 1:00 pm ET DET 52% PHI 48% PHI No Consensus
OAK @ MIN +8 -8 Sun. Sep 22 1:00 pm ET OAK 48% MIN 52% MIN No Consensus
BAL @ KC +5.5 -5.5 Sun. Sep 22 1:00 pm ET BAL 48% KC 52% KC No Consensus
NYG @ TB +6 -6 Sun. Sep 22 4:05 pm ET NYG 49% TB 51% TB No Consensus
@ 0% 0% 0% No Consensus
Game Line Date Away Picks Home Picks Consensus

NFL public betting information gives you a peek into activity at Legal Sportsbooks in the USA. Which NFL teams are seeing heavy betting action? Are certain favorites or underdogs seeing more action? Your answers are found here each week of the NFL season though the Super Bowl.

What does the NFL Consensus Mean?

The consensus is the number of bets placed on a specific team or its opponent. These numbers can take on different names. NFL Consensus Picks, NFL betting percentages or trends or simply NFL Public Bets. Overall, no matter what you call them, they give a clear picture of what the NFL action is at sportsbooks.

A second factor in looking at NFL consensus numbers is the impact from line movement. Did a certain shift in the betting line add more action to one side of an NFL match-up? This is crucial info when making your weekly NFL picks.


Bet With Or Against The Public?

We have all heard the saying “Bet against the Public”. The reality is that you can follow or fade the public bets and still end up with the same winning percentage. Consensus picks or betting percentages are simply a tool to point you in the right direction. If you are looking to consolidate your NFL betting research, taking the smaller pool of games that fall into a consensus (60% or more), can certainly simplify your approach.

A great example from NFL week 1 of the 2019 season provides a perfect snapshot of how betting with the public or fading the public impacts your approach. The KC Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns were top consensus picks. The Chiefs and Ravens covered with ease, while the Browns were destroyed by the Titans. The late afternoon games saw the road underdog NY Giants receive public love and were blown out by the Cowboys. Our free picks page covers this info each week of the NFL season.

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