NFL Consensus Picks: Follow or Fade NFL Public Bets?

The betting public is commonly used as a first step in weekly research to help bettors decide which NFL teams to bet on. Betting on the NFL can take on many different narratives or approaches to handicapping. Find out what works best for you. Knowing where the public is leaning each with their NFL Consensus picks is good first step.



Game Line Date Away Picks Home Picks Consensus
KC @ DEN -3.5 +3.5 Thu. Oct 17 8:20 pm ET KC 75% DEN 25% KC KC - 0.75
LAR @ ATL -3 +3 Sun. Oct 20 1:00 pm ET LAR 73% ATL 27% LAR LAR - 0.73
SF @ WAS -10 +10 Sun. Oct 20 1:00 pm ET SF 69% WAS 31% SF SF - 0.69
JAC @ CIN -3.5 +3.5 Sun. Oct 20 1:00 pm ET JAC 67% CIN 33% JAC JAC - 0.67
MIN @ DET 0 0 Sun. Oct 20 1:00 pm ET MIN 62% DET 38% MIN MIN - 0.62
ARI @ NYG +2.5 -2.5 Sun. Oct 20 1:00 pm ET ARI 39% NYG 61% NYG NYG - 0.61
BAL @ SEA +3.5 -3.5 Sun. Oct 20 4:25 pm ET BAL 60% SEA 40% SEA No Consensus
NE @ NYJ -10 +10 Mon. Oct 21 8:15 pm ET NE 59% NYJ 41% NYJ No Consensus
PHI @ DAL +3 -3 Sun. Oct 20 8:20 pm ET PHI 53% DAL 47% DAL No Consensus
LAC @ TEN +2.5 -2.5 Sun. Oct 20 4:05 pm ET LAC 48% TEN 52% TEN No Consensus
@ 0% 0% 0% No Consensus
@ 0% 0% 0% No Consensus
@ 0% 0% 0% No Consensus
@ 0% 0% 0% No Consensus
@ 0% 0% 0% No Consensus
Game Line Date Away Picks Home Picks Consensus

NFL public betting information gives you a peek into activity at Legal Sportsbooks in the USA. Which NFL teams are seeing heavy betting action? Are certain favorites or underdogs seeing more action? Your answers are found here each week of the NFL season though the Super Bowl.

What does the NFL Consensus Mean?

The consensus is the number of bets placed on a specific team or its opponent. These numbers can take on different names. NFL Consensus Picks, NFL betting percentages or trends or simply NFL Public Bets. Overall, no matter what you call them, they give a clear picture of what the NFL action is at sportsbooks.

A second factor in looking at NFL consensus numbers is the impact from line movement. Did a certain shift in the betting line add more action to one side of an NFL match-up? This is crucial info when making your weekly NFL picks.


Bet With Or Against The Public?

We have all heard the saying “Bet against the Public”. The reality is that you can follow or fade the public bets and still end up with the same winning percentage. Consensus picks or betting percentages are simply a tool to point you in the right direction. If you are looking to consolidate your NFL betting research, taking the smaller pool of games that fall into a consensus (60% or more), can certainly simplify your approach.

A great example from NFL week 1 of the 2019 season provides a perfect snapshot of how betting with the public or fading the public impacts your approach. The KC Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns were top consensus picks. The Chiefs and Ravens covered with ease, while the Browns were destroyed by the Titans. The late afternoon games saw the road underdog NY Giants receive public love and were blown out by the Cowboys. Our free picks page covers this info each week of the NFL season.

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