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FREE NFL WEEK 2 UPSET PICKS

The first week of the NFL season is in the books. A number of underdogs barked loudly while some rolled over and died. We cashed two of our three suggestions with the Browns and Bengals. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won outright as 10-point pups and single- handedly crushed the hopes and dreams of the many that tabbed New Orleans as their Survivor Pool pick.

The Chicago Bears allowed Aaron Rodgers to pull off one of the greatest comebacks in NFL history, but still cashed against the spread. The Sam Darnold era also kicked off in fine fashion on MNF after the Jets skunked the Lions. The Week 2 NFL betting picks slate is chalky to say the least. There will however be some pups that get bettors back to the window to cash tickets. It’s my job to find them – Let’s do this!

 

– 2018 NFL RABID DOGS: 2-1 ATS YTD –

UPSET PICK #1: BUFFALO BILLS +7

WARNING: This selection isn’t for the weak hearted. Yes, you’re reading this correctly. I’m recommending to take your hard earned money and make an investment on the Buffalo Bills this Sunday. Yes, the same Bills team that got its clocked cleaned 47-3 in Baltimore last Sunday. Yes, the same Bills team that will send rookie QB Josh Allen under center for his first career NFL start. And finally, yes the Bills team that entered the 2018 season with a 6 game season win total after reaching the playoffs a year ago

LA’s defense looked lost last week without an ability to rush the passer. The absence of Joey Bosa was huge and he won’t suit up for this one either. Now they’re forced to hit the east coast for an early kick against a Buffalo team that won six of eight home games last season.

Sean McDermott’s not an idiot. At least I don’t think so; for now. He’ll devise a game plan that keeps his rookie out of harm’s way which in turn allows Buffalo to stick close. LA’s getting nearly 85 percent of the action off last week’s effort – fade the masses!

UPSET PICK #2: OAKLAND RAIDERS +6

Say what you will about the Raiders second half performance against the Rams, they had one of the best teams in the league on the ropes through the first 30 minutes. Even after committing 10 penalties for 145 yards! While I faded Oakland in that spot, I came away impressed with the offenses ability to spread the field and get the pigskin into the waiting hands of Jared Cook. The dude’s a behemoth and will give a Denver defense that allowed DFS stud TE Will Dissly to carve them up for 105 yards and a TD on only three receptions. Cook’s in store for another big showing.

I expected Denver to beat the ever living snot out of Seattle last week as I have the Seahawks headed towards major regression in 2018. That didn’t turn out to be the case. While Von Miller and company sacked Russell Wilson six times, it was done against one of the worst offensive lines in the league. Oakland possesses one of the best that only allowed a Rams defensive front anchored by Suh and Donald to amass one sack. Derek Carr threw for over 300 yards last week. After throwing three picks, I’m expecting a much better effort against a division rival. Sprinkle some beer money on the Raiders $$$-line as well. I think
Chucky scores his first win!

 

UPSET PICK #3: NEW YORK GIANTS +3

I’ll admit, I was all in on the Cowboys plus the points last week at Carolina. I figured the ground game would be enough to keep them in it all the way through, and give them a chance to pull the outright win. I couldn’t have been more wrong. The Panthers simply loaded up the box and dared Zeke to beat them. He only managed 69 yards on 15 carries largely due to the Cowboys passing game being nonexistent. Nobody was able to stretch the field or come up with a big play. Until Big D rectifies that situation, it’s on my fade list.

If a couple things went differently last week, the G-Men would’ve beaten the Jags. New York actually outgained Jacksonville 324-305, but lost the turnover battle 2-1. It also came up empty on both red zone trips. However, Odell Beckham Jr. looked to be his old self, while rookie Saquon Barkley also made his presence felt with 106 yards and a TD on 18 carries.

New York simply has more firepower and the defensive prowess to go into “Jerry World” and
pull off the mild upset. The fact that the Cowboys swept this rivalry a year ago only lends
more credence to this selection. G-Men outright!

 

FREE NFL WEEK 1 UPSET PICKS

The opening week of the 2018 NFL betting season is here! The slate has been entirely wiped clean. Every team has a shot at attaining Super Bowl glory. Every fan base is drinking their respective team’s Kool-Aid. That’s only natural. For every New England Patriot, there’s a Jacksonville Jaguar that can come out of nowhere and make NFL bettors boatloads of cash.

There are value spots littered up and down the Week 1 slate, and I’m here to sift through them and hopefully weed out some winners. Let’s dig in and see which underdogs actually have a shot of cashing tickets!

CLEVELAND BROWNS +4

Plenty of value has already been soaked out of this line after it originally opened with the Steelers installed 6.5 point road favorites. Though were getting the worse of the number, I still think there’s some value to be had with a Browns squad that just might be one of the most athletic teams in the league. I love the moves made this past offseason bringing Tyrod Taylor in to run the offense, and giving him one of the best possession receivers in the game to get the pigskin to in Jarvis Landry. Carlos Hyde was an upgrade over Isaiah Crowell, and he’’ compliment both Duke Johnson and the rookie, Nick Chubb, nicely.

The Steelers are without a doubt one of the best teams the game has to offer, but Mike
Tomlin’s troops haven’t been dependable investments when laying points away from Heinz
Field. In fact, Pittsburgh only managed a 3-4 ATS tally as road chalk last season to move to 10-10 ATS over the last 20 occurrences. They struggled to put the Browns away as 10 point favorites at FirstEnergy Stadium last season ultimately winning by a 21-18 final count. The fact that this line continues to plummet even though the Steelers are seeing better than 60 percent of the action tells me this game could go either way. With that the case, gimme the doo doo Browns plus the points!

 

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CINCINNATI BENGALS +3

I’ll admit, I was very surprised to see Bengals management hold onto Marvin Lewis this past offseason. I thought for sure someone new would be calling the shots in the ‘Natti with the team failing to qualify for the postseason each of the last two seasons. Not winning once they got there any time under his watch also added fuel to the fire. Regardless, Lewis is back and that gives the Bengals the upper hand in this Week 1 tilt with the Colts breaking in an entirely new coaching staff to go along with schemes on both sides of the ball.

While the return of Andrew Luck has the city of Indianapolis going wild, he’s still got one of if not the worst offensive lines in the league protecting him. That spells big trouble in my opinion with a defensive line that has guys like Carlos Dunlap, Geno Atkins and Michael Johnson repeatedly coming after him. On top of that, Andy Dalton looked great in the preseason, especially in Week 3’s dress rehearsal, as he built up a rapport with AJ Green, Tyler Boyd and John Ross. As bad as the Colts offensive line is, it’s secondary might be even worse. It ranked No. 28 defending the pass last season and conceded a league-worst 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Dalton and the Bengals passing attack will eat enough to not only cover the spread for this game, but win it outright!

DALLAS COWBOYS +3

The Cowboys were one of the bigger disappointments in the league last season. A year removed from going 13-3 and Ezekiel Elliott bursting onto the scene, Big D only managed to win nine games a year later and missed out on the playoffs. On the flipside, the Panthers went on to win 11 games and qualified for the playoffs as a Wildcard. If they could’ve figured out how to solve the riddle that was the Saints, they might’ve given the Eagles a bigger challenge to get to the Super Bowl. They also covered nine of 16 regular season games as well as the loss to New Orleans in the playoffs.

With that, why the hell are they only laying three points at home in this Week 1 tilt against the NFL odds? The line wreaks! What makes it all the more fishy is the fact that over 70 percent of the tickets written for this matchup are backing the home team, yet the heavy juice is attached to the road dogs. Both of these teams have issues along the offensive line right now, and each has questionable at best passing attacks. With that the case, I’m going to hitch my wagon to a no doubt determined Zeke and pay up to see if McCaffrey has it in him to be the bell cow back his coaching staff said he’d be during the offseason. All odds mentioned are from MyBookie Sportsbook. See our exclusive MyBookie Promo Code

PAST 7 DAYS

Rank Service Units ROI Pct WL
1 Sean Higgs +1676.0 +30.2% 66.0% 33-17
2 Matt Fargo +992.0 +24.4% 63.9% 23-13
3 Art Aronson +968.0 +20.6% 65.0% 26-14
4 Michael Alexander +776.0 +18.6% 62.2% 23-14
5 Jesse Schule +759.0 +25.0% 69.6% 16-7
6 Matt Josephs +745.0 +18.1% 62.2% 23-14
7 Sean Murphy +693.0 +42.3% 73.3% 11-4
8 Jeff Hochman +690.0 +67.1% 88.9% 8-1
9 Jack Jones +688.0 +18.5% 62.5% 20-12
10 Kyle Hunter +655.0 +31.3% 70.6% 12-5

PAST 30 DAYS

Rank Service Units ROI Pct WL
1 Sean Higgs +3154.0 +17.1% 58.7% 98-69
2 Zack Cimini +2399.0 +28.5% 66.7% 52-26
3 Scott Rickenbach +2236.0 +14.6% 59.4% 79-54
4 John Martin +2001.0 +10.4% 57.6% 98-72
5 Matt Fargo +1816.0 +9.6% 57.4% 93-69
6 Kyle Hunter +1765.0 +21.2% 63.9% 46-26
7 Andre Ramirez +1750.0 +12.2% 58.7% 74-52
8 Jack Jones +1173.0 +8.8% 56.8% 67-51
9 Michael Alexander +1168.0 +9.6% 57.4% 62-46
10 Matt Josephs +912.0 +9.8% 58.0% 47-34

PAST 60 DAYS

Rank Service Units ROI Pct WL
1 Sean Higgs +5054.0 +15.4% 57.7% 172-126
2 Jack Jones +3991.0 +17.0% 61.1% 127-81
3 Scott Rickenbach +3490.0 +12.9% 58.2% 139-100
4 Matt Fargo +2955.0 +8.6% 57.1% 169-127
5 John Martin +2676.0 +7.1% 54.8% 182-150
6 Bobby Conn +2569.0 +6.1% 53.8% 199-171
7 Kyle Hunter +2384.0 +14.6% 60.3% 85-56
8 Zack Cimini +2224.0 +17.8% 61.6% 69-43
9 Jeff Alexander +1891.0 +6.6% 55.6% 143-114
10 Teddy Davis +1598.0 +8.3% 57.1% 97-73

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