When the Super Bowl Futures market is released before the NFL Draft, the odds rarely change unless a trade, release, or off-season injury occurs. The movement really does not happen until games are played.
As we all know, Week 1 in the NFL is closed and all 32 teams have either one win, or one loss. Zeke Elliott has signed, Melvin Gordon will be back in a month or so, Tyreek Hill, Tevin Coleman, Derrius Guice, and others are hurt. This helps the movement of odds a bit, but the outcomes of NFL teams’ first games cause the most.
Let’s take a look at the movement on DraftKings Sportsbook after Week 1.
Here is a look at our Super Bowl Odds movement chart, with all 32 teams sorted by movement.
|Team||Pre Week 1 Odds||Current Odds||Change|
The Bills went from +8000 to +6600. They are still longshots, but they received the biggest boost in odds after Week 1. It’s a weird jump, because it was not a convincing win by any stretch, having to score two TD in the fourth quarter to beat the Jets 17-16, but it was a win nonetheless and that defense looks very good.
The Titans moved from +5000 to +4000. This is from a combination of many things, including Andrew Luck being out for the season. But, the Cleveland Browns had very high expectations this season and the Titans throttled them in a 43-13 win. The Titans defense sacked Baker Mayfield five times, and picked him off three times. An impressive win, no matter how you slice it.
The Ravens went from +3300 to +2500. Yes, it was the Dolphins. But, 59 points is 59 points. This looked like a big Division I college team playing in their opening week game against a far lesser opponent. Are the Ravens this good? Are the Dolphins that bad? It’s likely a little bit of both, but Lamar Jackson and company looked really good.
The Dolphins were out gained by 443 yards. They ran for just 21 yards, the Ravens had the ball for 40:07 and Miami had it for just 19:53. Player have asked their agents to be traded. This is a disaster. Oh, and they get to play the Patriots now with Antonio Brown coming back.
The Jags moved from +3300 to +10000, and it’s sad because its due to the injury to Nick Foles, who fractured his clavicle and is out indefinitely. The Chiefs put up 40 on that defense, and that was against a hobbled Patrick Mahomes who missed a wide open TD throw. Sammy Watkins had 200 yards and three scores, and Matt Moore got to play for the Chiefs. The Jags are going nowhere fast, per DraftKings Sportsbook.
It looked good for a small period of time. Then…well…the Lions couldn’t finish against the Cardinals. Detroit gave up over 225 yards passing to Kyler Murray just in the 4Q and OT alone, and the Lions moved from +10000 to +15000 and now are tied with the Cardinals, Redskins, and Bengals near the bottom of the list.
Super Bowl Odds To Watch
The Vikes moved from +2800 to +2200, but they looked incredible against Atlanta in Week 1. The new rushing attack is no joke, as Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison combined for 160 yards on 30 carries and two scores.
The Vikings held Devonta Freeman and Julio Jones to a combined 62 yards of offense, sacked Matt Ryan four times, and forced three turnovers. Kirk Cousins threw the ball 10 times. 10. An impressive win against a good opponent. This week will be a test against the Packers in Green Bay.
Yes, it was against the New York Giants but the Cowboys looked incredible in all three phases. Offensive Coordinator Kellen Moore seems to have the Cowboys’ offense fast-tracked for success by utilizing Dak Prescott in the short passing game. Prescott had 405 yards and 4 TD, including a TD to Amari Cooper, Randall Cobb, and Jason Witten. Zeke ran for 53 yards on 13 carries and a score on a pitch count, and the defense held the Giants for most of the game until garbage time.
This is a talented football team, and DraftKings Sportsbook app moved them to +1750 to win the Super Bowl, tied with the Packers and Chargers.