During the final week of MLB, the focus in the baseball betting world becomes World Series futures. Futures is a bit of an oxymoron here, given how close it is, but you know what we mean. There are quite a few teams that could win the World Series this year, making the betting markets for the crown wide open and full of value.
Latest World Series Odds
(Odds as of 9/27/19)
|Team||Odds to Win World Series|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||225|
|New York Yankees||400|
|St. Louis Cardinals||1400|
|Tampa Bay Rays||3000|
The current favorite to win the World Series, just a few days before the regular season ends is the Houston Astros. Houston leads baseball with a 104-54 record, and a +271 run differential. They are built for the postseason as well with two of the best pitchers in baseball in Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole followed by a third ace in Zack Greinke. Pair that with arguably the most dangerous lineup in baseball and you have a clear favorite in the AL.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the NL favorites with a 102-56 record, and they have been on cruise control for what feels like the entire season. Is this the year the Dodgers break through? We will see, as William Hill US has them at +225.
Let’s take a look at these same teams’ opening odds, back before the season started.
|Team||Opening Odds to Win World Series In April 2019|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||650|
|New York Yankees||700|
|St. Louis Cardinals||2200|
|Tampa Bay Rays||5000|
The same three teams are atop the ranks for odds preseason as they are now, with the Astros, Dodgers, and Yankees leading the charge. Of course, the odds were longer then but that is to be expected given the fact that the season actually had to be played. The one difference in the top three is striking though. It is missing the Boston Red Sox, who opened as +550 favorites on William Hill. The Red Sox are 83-75 and will miss the playoffs.
Other notable teams to miss the playoffs and their opening odds:
Chicago Cubs +900
Colorado Rockies +2200
World Series Odds Big Movers
The Minnesota Twins opened at +6000 and are now +1000. Without a doubt, the biggest movers since the opening odds were released. The Twins had the same odds as the Giants, Pirates, and Blue Jays when odds opened, and now are one of the better teams in baseball with a chance to reach the World Series. Credit a tremendous lineup that has scored 915 runs, just nine shy of the MLB-leading Yankees.
Tampa Bay Rays had opened at +5000 and are now +4000. Not a massive jump, but them being in the playoff hunt with a few days to go is really telling. This number will jump should they get in.
Down in Texas, the Houston Astros opened at +600 and are now +200. Yes, the season went as expected…but for those who had Astros WS tickets pre-season, they have to be happy with their prices now.
ODDS DROPPED LIKE A ROCK….
What a disastrous season for the Boston Red Sox. They opened at +550 favorites to win the 2019 World Series, and will finish outside of the playoffs. The offense was there this season, but the downfall of the Red Sox this year was due to their pitching. Only one starting pitcher on the staff had an ERA below 4.28, Eduardo Rodriguez.
Chris Sale and David Price were underwhelming, and combined for just 254.2 innings and 47 starts. Expect the Red Sox to make some moves in the offseason and return to a MLB powerhouse.
In addition, the Chicago Cubs were +900 to win the World Series and fall short of the playoffs again. The Cubs’ pitching staff of Yu Darvish, Kyle Hendricks, and Cole Hamels along with Jon Lester and Jose Quintana were fine, but they had a hard time winning ball games. Lester and Quintana led the Cubs with just 13 wins a piece. Pitcher wins do not mean much, but it’s telling when a pitcher pitches well with a low amount of wins to his name.
Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo and Willson Contreras had elite offensive seasons, but the Cubs could not string enough wins together. It looks like Joe Maddon will not be back with the ball club in 2020.
2019 World Series Prediction
The Houston Astros are just too powerful of a baseball team, and their odds reflect that. The Yankees’ offense is terrific, but they lack the firepower on the mound to win consistently in the postseason against the likes of Verlander and Cole.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the class of the NL, as the young Braves may be a year or two away from being ready to win in the postseason.
Houston Astros over the Los Angeles Dodgers in five games. The trio of Verlander, Cole, and Greinke are too much for the rest of the league. Even if they struggle, opposing pitchers will have to deal with a lineup of stars from George Springer and Jose Altuve to Yordan Alvarez and Yuli Gurriel.